NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL IND
Points 120.2 122.4
Total Points   242.7
Points From 2-Pointers 70.2 67.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 41.3
Points From Free Throws 21.8 13.5
Shooting LAL IND
Field Goals Made 44.5 47.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.7 95.5
Field Goal % 51.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 35.1 33.8
2 Pointers Attempted 60.1 58.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 21.8 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 17.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.2%
Ball Control LAL IND
Rebounds 47.5 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.6
Turnovers 12.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.4
Steals 5.7 7.2
Fouls 14.0 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL IND
Total Possessions 104.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.7 105.5
% of Possessions with LAL IND
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 31.1%
Player Fouled 19.2% 13.3%
Turnover 12.0% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL IND
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 23.3%