NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL IND
Points 120.2 122.4
Total Points   242.6
Points From 2-Pointers 70.1 67.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 41.0
Points From Free Throws 21.8 13.5
Shooting LAL IND
Field Goals Made 44.5 47.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.5 95.4
Field Goal % 52.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 35.0 33.9
2 Pointers Attempted 60.0 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 21.8 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 17.5
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.3%
Ball Control LAL IND
Rebounds 47.4 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.5
Turnovers 12.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.4
Steals 5.6 7.2
Fouls 14.0 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL IND
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 105.4
% of Possessions with LAL IND
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 31.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 13.4%
Turnover 12.0% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL IND
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 23.2%