NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL NO
Points 113.9 115.3
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 37.1 39.1
Points From Free Throws 17.6 14.6
Shooting LAL NO
Field Goals Made 42.0 43.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 91.6
Field Goal % 50.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.0 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 17.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 18.8
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control LAL NO
Rebounds 46.0 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.9
Turnovers 13.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.3
Steals 5.7 8.0
Fouls 13.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL NO
Total Possessions 102.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.0 102.5
% of Possessions with LAL NO
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.4% 13.4%
Turnover 13.0% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL NO
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 23.9%