NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL NO
Points 113.7 114.0
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.9 60.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 38.7
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.5
Shooting LAL NO
Field Goals Made 41.9 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 91.3
Field Goal % 49.9% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 30.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 56.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.2% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 18.6
Free Throw % 77.5% 77.9%
Ball Control LAL NO
Rebounds 46.2 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.0 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 11.8
Turnovers 13.2 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.2
Steals 5.9 8.2
Fouls 13.6 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL NO
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 96.9 102.1
% of Possessions with LAL NO
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 13.3%
Turnover 13.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL NO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 23.7%