NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL DET
Points 122.1 111.3
Total Points   233.4
Points From 2-Pointers 68.5 60.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 36.5
Points From Free Throws 20.6 14.6
Shooting LAL DET
Field Goals Made 45.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 92.5
Field Goal % 53.3% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 34.2 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 61.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 20.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 18.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.3%
Ball Control LAL DET
Rebounds 47.7 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.8 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.0
Turnovers 11.9 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.7 4.2
Steals 7.6 6.7
Fouls 13.2 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL DET
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 103.1
% of Possessions with LAL DET
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 12.7%
Turnover 11.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL DET
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 23.1%