NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL OKC
Points 112.4 120.1
Total Points   232.5
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 62.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 42.5
Points From Free Throws 19.1 14.8
Shooting LAL OKC
Field Goals Made 40.6 45.6
Field Goals Attempted 85.6 92.7
Field Goal % 47.4% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 32.7 36.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 19.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 18.1
Free Throw % 77.5% 81.6%
Ball Control LAL OKC
Rebounds 48.3 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.1
Turnovers 14.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.9
Steals 6.4 8.3
Fouls 14.5 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL OKC
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 102.9
% of Possessions with LAL OKC
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 16.8% 13.9%
Turnover 13.9% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAL OKC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 20.9%