NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL PHI
Points 107.3 106.3
Total Points   213.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 32.0
Points From Free Throws 20.9 20.4
Shooting ORL PHI
Field Goals Made 38.0 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.2 83.7
Field Goal % 46.3% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 20.9 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 24.9
Free Throw % 76.1% 82.1%
Ball Control ORL PHI
Rebounds 50.1 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 34.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.8
Turnovers 13.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 6.2 5.7
Steals 6.3 7.8
Fouls 17.8 20.5

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL PHI
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 97.7
% of Possessions with ORL PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 27.1%
Player Fouled 20.7% 18.0%
Turnover 13.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL PHI
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 22.6%