NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL MIL
Points 109.2 109.9
Total Points   219.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.3 36.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 19.0
Shooting ORL MIL
Field Goals Made 39.7 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 82.5
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 48.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 18.8 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.3
Free Throw % 76.1% 78.0%
Ball Control ORL MIL
Rebounds 48.5 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.9
Turnovers 11.6 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.2
Steals 7.0 6.7
Fouls 18.6 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL MIL
Total Possessions 100.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.7 96.6
% of Possessions with ORL MIL
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.5%
Turnover 11.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL MIL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 19.5%