NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CHI
Points 109.8 107.1
Total Points   216.9
Points From 2-Pointers 53.4 58.9
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 30.7
Points From Free Throws 19.5 17.4
Shooting ORL CHI
Field Goals Made 39.0 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 85.1
Field Goal % 47.4% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 19.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 22.0
Free Throw % 75.8% 79.2%
Ball Control ORL CHI
Rebounds 48.3 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.6
Turnovers 13.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.4
Steals 6.9 7.8
Fouls 18.0 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CHI
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 97.9
% of Possessions with ORL CHI
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 26.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.0%
Turnover 13.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CHI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 22.4%