NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL CLE
Points 106.1 105.6
Total Points   211.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 53.5
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 35.6
Points From Free Throws 17.9 16.5
Shooting ORL CLE
Field Goals Made 38.6 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.0 82.0
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 48.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.6 33.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 17.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.7
Free Throw % 75.8% 76.1%
Ball Control ORL CLE
Rebounds 47.7 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.6
Turnovers 13.2 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.0
Steals 8.0 7.3
Fouls 18.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL CLE
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.3 94.5
% of Possessions with ORL CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 30.3%
Player Fouled 17.6% 18.6%
Turnover 13.4% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL CLE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 20.9%