NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL BOS
Points 102.8 111.9
Total Points   214.8
Points From 2-Pointers 54.1 52.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 42.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 16.4
Shooting ORL BOS
Field Goals Made 38.4 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 85.0
Field Goal % 43.2% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.0 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 47.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 14.7 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.7
Free Throw % 75.9% 79.0%
Ball Control ORL BOS
Rebounds 49.0 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.3
Turnovers 11.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 5.8
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 16.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL BOS
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 97.3
% of Possessions with ORL BOS
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.5%
Turnover 12.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL BOS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 22.1%