NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL MEM
Points 109.7 100.1
Total Points   209.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 48.4
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 34.4
Points From Free Throws 19.2 17.4
Shooting ORL MEM
Field Goals Made 39.5 35.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.7 82.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 49.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 19.2 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 22.7
Free Throw % 75.8% 76.6%
Ball Control ORL MEM
Rebounds 50.6 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.1
Turnovers 14.9 15.5
Blocked Shots 6.3 5.5
Steals 8.3 8.3
Fouls 18.2 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL MEM
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.7 95.9
% of Possessions with ORL MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.1%
Turnover 14.8% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL MEM
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 22.5%