NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL BK
Points 108.8 103.2
Total Points   212.0
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 52.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.4 34.1
Points From Free Throws 18.5 16.9
Shooting ORL BK
Field Goals Made 39.5 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.2 83.8
Field Goal % 47.0% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.9 50.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 18.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 22.2
Free Throw % 75.9% 76.0%
Ball Control ORL BK
Rebounds 49.9 46.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.9
Turnovers 12.6 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.6
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 17.6 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL BK
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 96.8
% of Possessions with ORL BK
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.7%
Turnover 12.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL BK
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 22.3%