NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL NO
Points 106.2 107.5
Total Points   213.7
Points From 2-Pointers 53.6 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 34.7 31.9
Points From Free Throws 17.9 18.1
Shooting ORL NO
Field Goals Made 38.4 39.4
Field Goals Attempted 82.2 82.2
Field Goal % 46.7% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.8 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 52.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.1 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 17.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.3
Free Throw % 75.8% 77.6%
Ball Control ORL NO
Rebounds 46.5 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 10.0
Turnovers 13.9 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.1
Steals 6.7 8.1
Fouls 17.7 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL NO
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 96.4 95.7
% of Possessions with ORL NO
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.8%
Turnover 14.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL NO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.0%