NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL DET
Points 114.3 103.3
Total Points   217.6
Points From 2-Pointers 62.5 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 29.3
Points From Free Throws 20.8 18.1
Shooting ORL DET
Field Goals Made 41.6 37.8
Field Goals Attempted 83.1 82.5
Field Goal % 50.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.2 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 53.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 20.8 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 23.1
Free Throw % 75.7% 78.3%
Ball Control ORL DET
Rebounds 47.8 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.9
Turnovers 12.6 15.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.0
Steals 9.0 6.8
Fouls 17.0 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL DET
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 95.7
% of Possessions with ORL DET
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 16.8%
Turnover 12.4% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL DET
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 21.0%