NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL TOR
Points 116.1 105.7
Total Points   221.8
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 58.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 30.1
Points From Free Throws 17.7 17.5
Shooting ORL TOR
Field Goals Made 43.3 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 84.5
Field Goal % 50.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.7 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 22.8
Free Throw % 75.8% 76.6%
Ball Control ORL TOR
Rebounds 50.4 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 10.3
Turnovers 13.7 14.4
Blocked Shots 6.0 4.1
Steals 7.5 7.7
Fouls 17.5 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL TOR
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 97.4
% of Possessions with ORL TOR
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 17.3%
Turnover 13.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL TOR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 21.7%