NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORL GS
Points 109.9 110.3
Total Points   220.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.9 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.2 38.5
Points From Free Throws 18.8 16.2
Shooting ORL GS
Field Goals Made 39.7 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 85.8
Field Goal % 46.1% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 18.8 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 20.8
Free Throw % 75.8% 77.7%
Ball Control ORL GS
Rebounds 48.2 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.6 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.7
Turnovers 12.6 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.3
Steals 7.7 6.8
Fouls 16.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORL GS
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 98.2
% of Possessions with ORL GS
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 30.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 16.8%
Turnover 12.5% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORL GS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.7%