NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MIL
Points 115.8 115.0
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 56.5 53.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 42.6
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.5
Shooting DAL MIL
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 87.8
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.3 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 50.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.0 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 23.7
Free Throw % 75.3% 78.0%
Ball Control DAL MIL
Rebounds 49.1 50.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 39.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 10.6
Turnovers 10.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 17.2 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MIL
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 101.6
% of Possessions with DAL MIL
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 32.9%
Player Fouled 18.6% 16.8%
Turnover 9.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MIL
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 21.6%