NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL CLE
Points 112.6 109.8
Total Points   222.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 40.0
Points From Free Throws 16.9 16.1
Shooting DAL CLE
Field Goals Made 41.0 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 87.3
Field Goal % 47.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 50.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 37.1 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.2
Free Throw % 75.3% 75.8%
Ball Control DAL CLE
Rebounds 48.8 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.3 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.2
Turnovers 11.5 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.6
Steals 6.4 6.6
Fouls 17.1 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL CLE
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 99.5
% of Possessions with DAL CLE
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 32.0%
Player Fouled 17.4% 17.0%
Turnover 11.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL CLE
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.7%