NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL BOS
Points 109.9 118.4
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 52.6 52.1
Points From 3-Pointers 43.7 50.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 16.0
Shooting DAL BOS
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 90.4
Field Goal % 44.4% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 16.8
3 Pointers Attempted 40.7 42.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 20.2
Free Throw % 75.4% 78.9%
Ball Control DAL BOS
Rebounds 49.2 53.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 41.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 12.1
Turnovers 10.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.2
Steals 5.1 6.2
Fouls 15.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL BOS
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.2 102.3
% of Possessions with DAL BOS
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 36.8%
Player Fouled 15.7% 15.0%
Turnover 10.2% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL BOS
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 24.3%