NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL LAC
Points 114.0 111.1
Total Points   225.1
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 40.5 37.1
Points From Free Throws 17.2 18.7
Shooting DAL LAC
Field Goals Made 41.6 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.7 86.2
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 53.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 17.2 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 22.5
Free Throw % 74.4% 83.0%
Ball Control DAL LAC
Rebounds 48.1 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.6
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.8
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 16.9 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL LAC
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 99.2
% of Possessions with DAL LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.0%
Turnover 10.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL LAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 24.3%