NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL LAC
Points 114.0 111.6
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.3 55.6
Points From 3-Pointers 40.4 37.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 18.7
Shooting DAL LAC
Field Goals Made 41.6 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 86.3
Field Goal % 47.9% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.1 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 49.8 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.3 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 22.5
Free Throw % 74.9% 83.0%
Ball Control DAL LAC
Rebounds 48.0 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 36.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.5
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.8
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 16.8 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL LAC
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 99.2
% of Possessions with DAL LAC
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 29.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.9%
Turnover 10.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL LAC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 24.2%