NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MEM
Points 117.0 105.9
Total Points   222.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 49.1
Points From 3-Pointers 44.3 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.0
Shooting DAL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.2 37.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 89.3
Field Goal % 48.6% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 51.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.8 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 22.2
Free Throw % 75.4% 76.6%
Ball Control DAL MEM
Rebounds 51.4 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 40.4 36.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.2
Turnovers 12.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 6.5 4.9
Steals 6.8 7.5
Fouls 16.8 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MEM
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 102.0
% of Possessions with DAL MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 31.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 16.4%
Turnover 12.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.6%