NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL SAC
Points 115.1 114.6
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.0 43.2
Points From Free Throws 18.7 16.2
Shooting DAL SAC
Field Goals Made 41.2 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 90.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 48.7 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 14.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.6 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 18.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 21.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 74.6%
Ball Control DAL SAC
Rebounds 48.2 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 37.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 13.0
Turnovers 11.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.5
Steals 6.0 7.0
Fouls 16.5 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL SAC
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 103.7
% of Possessions with DAL SAC
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 32.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 16.1%
Turnover 11.7% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL SAC
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 25.1%