NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL BK
Points 116.1 109.6
Total Points   225.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 42.9 40.0
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.7
Shooting DAL BK
Field Goals Made 42.5 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 89.8
Field Goal % 48.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.0
Free Throw % 75.6% 76.0%
Ball Control DAL BK
Rebounds 50.2 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 13.0
Turnovers 10.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.0
Steals 5.6 6.1
Fouls 16.4 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL BK
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.4 102.7
% of Possessions with DAL BK
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 31.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 16.1%
Turnover 10.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL BK
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 24.7%