NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL DEN
Points 111.6 113.7
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 62.5
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 35.3
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.9
Shooting DAL DEN
Field Goals Made 40.9 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 89.6
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 58.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 20.6
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.4%
Ball Control DAL DEN
Rebounds 47.7 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.2
Turnovers 10.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.3
Steals 5.8 6.2
Fouls 16.2 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL DEN
Total Possessions 100.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 101.6
% of Possessions with DAL DEN
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 16.1%
Turnover 10.2% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL DEN
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.1%