NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL DET
Points 120.7 108.5
Total Points   229.2
Points From 2-Pointers 62.1 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.4 34.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 17.6
Shooting DAL DET
Field Goals Made 44.2 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 88.6
Field Goal % 50.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.6 56.4
2 Point Shooting % 60.1% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 19.3 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 22.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 78.3%
Ball Control DAL DET
Rebounds 48.8 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.1 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.8
Turnovers 10.8 13.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 3.6
Steals 7.4 6.1
Fouls 15.6 20.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL DET
Total Possessions 103.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 101.5
% of Possessions with DAL DET
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 27.5%
Player Fouled 19.4% 15.2%
Turnover 10.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL DET
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.2%