NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL SA
Points 117.3 110.9
Total Points   228.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.5 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.8 38.6
Points From Free Throws 16.0 16.0
Shooting DAL SA
Field Goals Made 44.0 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 90.4
Field Goal % 48.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.7 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 54.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 20.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 77.6%
Ball Control DAL SA
Rebounds 50.1 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.2
Turnovers 11.3 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.9
Steals 7.3 6.3
Fouls 15.9 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL SA
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 102.6
% of Possessions with DAL SA
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 15.3%
Turnover 10.8% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL SA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 23.6%