NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL PHO
Points 113.9 113.8
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.7 37.6
Points From Free Throws 17.1 19.3
Shooting DAL PHO
Field Goals Made 41.3 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.7 85.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 32.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 17.1 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 23.8
Free Throw % 75.3% 80.9%
Ball Control DAL PHO
Rebounds 47.2 50.8
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.5
Turnovers 10.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.3
Steals 6.9 6.5
Fouls 17.7 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL PHO
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.9 99.7
% of Possessions with DAL PHO
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.0% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.4%
Turnover 10.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL PHO
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 24.6%