NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MIN
Points 108.3 112.1
Total Points   220.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 55.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 38.6
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.6
Shooting DAL MIN
Field Goals Made 38.6 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 85.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 52.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 23.9
Free Throw % 75.4% 77.6%
Ball Control DAL MIN
Rebounds 47.5 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.0
Turnovers 12.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.6
Steals 6.4 7.2
Fouls 18.2 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MIN
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 99.7
% of Possessions with DAL MIN
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.9%
Turnover 12.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MIN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 23.0%