NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAL MIN
Points 107.4 108.9
Total Points   216.3
Points From 2-Pointers 52.6 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 37.4
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.2
Shooting DAL MIN
Field Goals Made 38.5 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 83.5 84.0
Field Goal % 46.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 26.7
2 Pointers Attempted 50.1 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 23.7
Free Throw % 74.4% 76.8%
Ball Control DAL MIN
Rebounds 47.1 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.2
Turnovers 11.9 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.7
Steals 6.2 6.8
Fouls 18.2 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAL MIN
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 97.9
% of Possessions with DAL MIN
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 29.5%
Player Fouled 19.3% 18.5%
Turnover 12.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAL MIN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 23.5%