NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK CHA
Points 112.2 106.5
Total Points   218.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.0 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 41.7 37.4
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.4
Shooting BK CHA
Field Goals Made 41.4 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 86.5
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 27.5 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.0 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.3
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.9%
Ball Control BK CHA
Rebounds 51.4 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 9.7
Turnovers 12.1 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.2
Steals 5.9 5.8
Fouls 15.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK CHA
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.8 97.0
% of Possessions with BK CHA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 31.1%
Player Fouled 15.9% 15.9%
Turnover 12.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK CHA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 20.1%