NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK CHA
Points 112.5 106.8
Total Points   219.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 54.8
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 37.7
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.4
Shooting BK CHA
Field Goals Made 41.5 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 86.6
Field Goal % 47.4% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 49.7 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 38.1 34.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 18.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.9%
Ball Control BK CHA
Rebounds 51.3 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.6 35.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 9.7
Turnovers 12.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.2
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 15.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK CHA
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 97.0
% of Possessions with BK CHA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.8% 15.8%
Turnover 12.2% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK CHA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 20.1%