NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK NY
Points 107.9 112.9
Total Points   220.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.2 55.7
Points From 3-Pointers 38.9 40.2
Points From Free Throws 15.8 17.1
Shooting BK NY
Field Goals Made 39.6 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.5 88.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 27.8
2 Pointers Attempted 50.3 53.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 35.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 21.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.0%
Ball Control BK NY
Rebounds 47.8 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 35.2 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 14.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.3
Steals 5.4 6.3
Fouls 16.6 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK NY
Total Possessions 98.1
Effective Scoring Chances 98.9 101.8
% of Possessions with BK NY
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 30.8%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.0%
Turnover 12.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK NY
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 29.5%