NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK NY
Points 108.4 113.1
Total Points   221.4
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 40.9
Points From Free Throws 15.7 17.0
Shooting BK NY
Field Goals Made 39.7 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 88.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.7 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 13.6
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 15.7 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 22.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 77.4%
Ball Control BK NY
Rebounds 48.1 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 14.6
Turnovers 11.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.4
Steals 5.4 6.2
Fouls 16.7 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK NY
Total Possessions 98.0
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 101.7
% of Possessions with BK NY
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 16.2% 17.0%
Turnover 12.0% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK NY
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 29.2%