NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DAL
Points 109.1 115.5
Total Points   224.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.4 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 42.7
Points From Free Throws 16.7 17.1
Shooting BK DAL
Field Goals Made 39.5 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 89.8 88.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.0 49.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 14.2
3 Pointers Attempted 36.8 38.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.7 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 22.6
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.4%
Ball Control BK DAL
Rebounds 51.1 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 10.7
Turnovers 11.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.0
Steals 6.1 5.7
Fouls 18.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DAL
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 101.2
% of Possessions with BK DAL
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 33.5%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.0%
Turnover 11.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DAL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 22.0%