NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DEN
Points 105.9 114.8
Total Points   220.7
Points From 2-Pointers 54.5 64.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 35.2
Points From Free Throws 17.1 15.3
Shooting BK DEN
Field Goals Made 38.7 43.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 89.0
Field Goal % 43.6% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 32.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 57.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 17.1 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 76.8%
Ball Control BK DEN
Rebounds 48.4 51.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.3 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.5
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 16.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DEN
Total Possessions 99.1
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 100.6
% of Possessions with BK DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.3%
Turnover 10.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DEN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 25.4%