NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BK DET
Points 114.6 109.6
Total Points   224.2
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 58.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 34.3
Points From Free Throws 18.3 17.1
Shooting BK DET
Field Goals Made 42.0 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.7 87.9
Field Goal % 47.9% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 29.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.3 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 21.9
Free Throw % 76.0% 78.3%
Ball Control BK DET
Rebounds 49.3 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 11.5
Turnovers 11.3 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.8 4.4
Steals 7.3 5.7
Fouls 15.6 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BK DET
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 101.8 100.3
% of Possessions with BK DET
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 27.7%
Player Fouled 17.6% 15.4%
Turnover 11.1% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BK DET
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 23.3%