NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIL
Points 114.4 112.5
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 64.1 57.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 36.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 18.3
Shooting DEN MIL
Field Goals Made 43.7 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 87.2
Field Goal % 48.3% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 58.1 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.5 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.5
Free Throw % 77.4% 78.0%
Ball Control DEN MIL
Rebounds 49.7 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.5
Turnovers 9.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.2
Steals 5.8 5.7
Fouls 16.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIL
Total Possessions 100.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 100.7
% of Possessions with DEN MIL
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 30.4%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.4%
Turnover 9.9% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 21.6%