NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN UTA
Points 123.0 112.2
Total Points   235.3
Points From 2-Pointers 67.6 59.4
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 33.1
Points From Free Throws 15.9 19.7
Shooting DEN UTA
Field Goals Made 47.0 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.8 89.4
Field Goal % 51.2% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 56.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.9 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 23.6
Free Throw % 77.2% 83.7%
Ball Control DEN UTA
Rebounds 48.5 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.0 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 13.8
Turnovers 10.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 7.0 4.8
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN UTA
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 102.6
% of Possessions with DEN UTA
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 27.7%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.1%
Turnover 9.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.8%