NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN UTA
Points 122.6 112.6
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 66.7 59.9
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 33.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 19.5
Shooting DEN UTA
Field Goals Made 46.7 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 89.2
Field Goal % 51.0% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 29.9
2 Pointers Attempted 58.0 56.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 23.2
Free Throw % 77.4% 83.7%
Ball Control DEN UTA
Rebounds 48.1 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 13.7
Turnovers 10.1 12.3
Blocked Shots 6.9 5.0
Steals 7.1 5.3
Fouls 16.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN UTA
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 102.3
% of Possessions with DEN UTA
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 15.8% 16.0%
Turnover 10.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 27.7%