NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN NY
Points 112.7 109.2
Total Points   221.9
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 34.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.8
Shooting DEN NY
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.9 89.2
Field Goal % 49.5% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.7 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 23.0
Free Throw % 77.4% 77.3%
Ball Control DEN NY
Rebounds 48.4 49.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 15.2
Turnovers 11.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.1
Steals 5.4 6.3
Fouls 16.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN NY
Total Possessions 97.6
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 102.6
% of Possessions with DEN NY
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 28.1%
Player Fouled 16.2% 16.6%
Turnover 11.4% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN NY
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 29.5%