NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN NY
Points 112.6 108.8
Total Points   221.5
Points From 2-Pointers 63.0 56.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 34.9
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.7
Shooting DEN NY
Field Goals Made 43.1 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.4 88.6
Field Goal % 49.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.4 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.8
Free Throw % 77.9% 77.4%
Ball Control DEN NY
Rebounds 47.9 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 15.0
Turnovers 11.0 10.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.1
Steals 5.3 6.2
Fouls 16.2 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN NY
Total Possessions 96.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 101.8
% of Possessions with DEN NY
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.7%
Turnover 11.4% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN NY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 29.3%