NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN BK
Points 114.6 106.0
Total Points   220.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.2 55.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 34.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.9
Shooting DEN BK
Field Goals Made 43.7 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 89.0
Field Goal % 49.2% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.1 27.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.7 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 33.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 22.3
Free Throw % 77.4% 76.0%
Ball Control DEN BK
Rebounds 51.4 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.1
Turnovers 10.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.6
Steals 5.7 5.7
Fouls 15.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN BK
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 101.7
% of Possessions with DEN BK
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.0%
Turnover 10.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN BK
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 25.0%