NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN PHO
Points 112.9 111.2
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 60.0
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 32.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 19.1
Shooting DEN PHO
Field Goals Made 43.0 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 85.6
Field Goal % 47.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 56.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 23.7
Free Throw % 77.0% 80.7%
Ball Control DEN PHO
Rebounds 48.4 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 35.4 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.6
Turnovers 10.5 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.8 5.0
Steals 7.0 6.2
Fouls 17.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN PHO
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 99.4
% of Possessions with DEN PHO
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 25.9%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.0%
Turnover 10.5% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN PHO
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 24.7%