NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN OKC
Points 112.4 114.9
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 62.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 33.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 18.4
Shooting DEN OKC
Field Goals Made 41.9 42.6
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 88.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 31.3
2 Pointers Attempted 56.5 58.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 30.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.6 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 22.3
Free Throw % 77.0% 82.2%
Ball Control DEN OKC
Rebounds 51.1 46.3
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 10.1
Turnovers 12.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.9
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 16.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN OKC
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 100.9
% of Possessions with DEN OKC
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.9%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.6%
Turnover 12.6% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN OKC
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 21.3%