NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIN
Points 107.1 108.9
Total Points   215.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.1 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 33.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 18.9
Shooting DEN MIN
Field Goals Made 40.1 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 84.5
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 58.3 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 16.4 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 24.4
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.6%
Ball Control DEN MIN
Rebounds 48.7 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.0
Turnovers 11.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.3
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 17.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.4 98.6
% of Possessions with DEN MIN
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 16.8% 18.0%
Turnover 11.9% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIN
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 23.2%