NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIN
Points 107.0 108.8
Total Points   215.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.3 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 32.8
Points From Free Throws 16.5 18.8
Shooting DEN MIN
Field Goals Made 40.0 39.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 84.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 58.3 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 24.3
Free Throw % 77.0% 77.6%
Ball Control DEN MIN
Rebounds 48.9 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.1
Turnovers 11.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.3
Steals 6.4 6.7
Fouls 17.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 98.7
% of Possessions with DEN MIN
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.9%
Turnover 12.0% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.1%