NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIN
Points 106.8 109.1
Total Points   215.9
Points From 2-Pointers 59.0 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 32.7
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.9
Shooting DEN MIN
Field Goals Made 39.8 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 84.7
Field Goal % 45.9% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.5 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 58.1 55.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 24.3
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.8%
Ball Control DEN MIN
Rebounds 48.5 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 37.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.2
Turnovers 11.8 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.2
Steals 6.4 6.6
Fouls 17.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 99.3 98.9
% of Possessions with DEN MIN
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.9%
Turnover 11.9% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIN
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 23.4%