NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN MIN
Points 105.9 109.5
Total Points   215.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.7 58.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 33.1
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.4
Shooting DEN MIN
Field Goals Made 39.3 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 84.7
Field Goal % 45.6% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 29.0
2 Pointers Attempted 57.3 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 23.7
Free Throw % 77.4% 77.6%
Ball Control DEN MIN
Rebounds 47.9 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.2
Turnovers 12.0 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.5
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 17.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN MIN
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.6 98.5
% of Possessions with DEN MIN
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 26.7%
Player Fouled 17.2% 17.8%
Turnover 12.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN MIN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 23.6%